The Privacy Thesis Behind the Rally
Multicoin Capital disclosed it has been accumulating a large ZEC position since February. Fund partner Tushar Jain published the thesis on X, framing it around California’s proposed wealth seizure initiative — a one-time 5% tax on net worth above $1 billion, including unrealized gains. His argument was pointed: Bitcoin is censorship-resistant, and no one can freeze your BTC, but that doesn’t stop the state from seizing known holdings through wealth taxes. Zcash’s shielded pool, however, hides what a blockchain explorer cannot see.
Three forces are converging to drive this thesis, according to Jain. AI tools are now capable of de-anonymizing users on transparent blockchains. Quantum computing is emerging as a credible threat to standard crypto cryptography. And quarterly trading volumes are exceeding $100 billion as capital rotates toward encryption-based privacy assets.
Growing Institutional and Retail Interest
The numbers back up the narrative. Grayscale’s spot Zcash Trust more than doubled its average daily trading volume in April, reaching $1.7 million. Zcash’s shielded supply — coins held in private pools — hit a record 30% of total circulation. DCG founder Barry Silbert predicted a Bitcoin-like multi-year bull cycle for ZEC, citing growing financial privacy demand.
Robinhood listed ZEC on April 23, opening it to millions of retail users. A Grayscale spot ZEC ETF filing is also reportedly on track, which would be the first privacy coin ETF of its kind.
Technical Picture: A Genuine Breakout?
On the weekly chart, ZEC trades at $580.51 as of May 7, up 4.84% on the week and well off its cycle high of $744.13. The Parabolic SAR sits below price — a bullish signal confirming the weekly trend has flipped. The MACD histogram at +20.61 is expanding and turning green. The MACD line at 34.86 is pulling sharply away from the signal at 14.25 — a divergence that suggests momentum is building, not fading.
Looking at the full chart, ZEC was essentially invisible for years — flat, forgotten, and range-bound from 2023 through mid-2024. The explosive move that began in late 2024 was one of the sharpest in crypto. The current recovery from the early 2026 low near $189 mirrors that same base-building pattern.
Against Bitcoin, ZEC sits at 0.0071538 on the weekly chart, up 5.09% on the week and approaching its cycle high of 0.0082998. The Parabolic SAR at 0.0029229 has flipped well below price. The MACD lines are both positive and expanding. This is not a Bitcoin-correlated move — ZEC is outperforming BTC on a relative basis. Independent strength on the BTC pair is often one of the clearest signals of a genuine breakout.
Trading volume crossed $1.73 billion in 24 hours with market capitalization near $9.46 billion. The next resistance is the $600–$650 zone where ZEC consolidated through late 2025.
What traders are watching now is whether the shielded pool keeps expanding alongside the price move. Past rallies saw shielded supply lag the move, but this one is happening alongside record-high shielded supply. That is a different kind of breakout. And it may just be the start of a much larger rotation.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The views expressed are based on publicly available data, market observations, and the author’s interpretation at the time of writing. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, and past performance or current technical setups do not guarantee future results. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. TechGaged does not accept liability for any losses incurred based on the information presented.
