OriginTrail’s TRAC token has been moving with real intent. At press time, the asset was up roughly 15% on the day, and the price has pushed back to levels not seen since June 4. The rally follows a structural breakout above a descending resistance line on the chart. That line had been capping gains for a while, and now that price is above it, some analysts see room toward $0.49, which is where that resistance line originally began.
The technical picture is also shifting. The moving averages on the daily chart are close to forming a bullish crossover. That happens when the 20 SMA crosses above the 50 SMA, and historically this has sometimes preceded further upward movement. It isn’t a guarantee, but it adds to the current mood.
Buyers still appear to hold some control, though the edge has thinned. The Balance of Power indicator is sitting at 0.35 on the daily timeframe. That’s above zero, which usually points to buyers having more strength than sellers. But on August 21, that reading was much higher at 0.67. So the buying pressure isn’t as strong as it was a few weeks ago. Still, the recent breakout suggests momentum hasn’t faded completely.
Volume and market interest
Volume data from CoinMarketCap shows a huge jump in trading activity. Over the last 24 hours, TRAC’s trading volume rose by 580%, with about $35 million worth of the asset changing hands. When volume goes up alongside price, it usually means buyers are actively supporting the move. If that continues, the rally might have more room to run.
Social interest is creeping up as well. Mindshare for TRAC increased slightly by 1.37%, reaching around 1,370 posts from various market participants. It’s not a massive shift, but rising discussion during a price rally can sometimes pull in additional traders. That’s not always a reliable signal, though. It can also attract short-term speculators.
What traders think
Community sentiment remains clearly bullish. The data, based on votes from 13,800 traders, shows that around 83% expect TRAC to keep its upward momentum. That’s a strong majority, but sentiment can change quickly. The market has a way of turning when everyone agrees on one direction.
The key level to watch is still the $0.49 area. If TRAC reaches that point, the breakout may be seen as more meaningful. On the downside, losing the breakout zone could put the move in doubt. For now, the trend looks constructive, but the weaker BOP reading is a small warning.
The next few sessions should make things clearer. If volume stays high and the moving average crossover completes, TRAC could push toward that target. If volume fades, the rally might stall before it gets there. Either way, traders are paying attention.
