
It’s been a rough stretch for Dogecoin lately. The price is sitting around $0.22 as of late August, which honestly isn’t great. It’s down more than half from where it was back in November. And while other major cryptocurrencies seem to be holding their own, DOGE just keeps lagging behind.
Perhaps it’s a shift in where people are putting their money. Everyone’s talking about Ethereum and Bitcoin again, and Dogecoin… well, it feels a bit forgotten for the moment. It doesn’t have a major news story or update driving interest right now, and that might be the core of the problem.
Derivatives Data Shows a Clear Drop in Interest
You can really see the lack of demand in the futures market data. There’s this metric called open interest—it basically tracks how many futures contracts are active and unsettled. For DOGE, that number has taken a real hit.
It peaked in late July at over $5 billion. But since then? It’s fallen off a cliff, dropping nearly 40%. That’s a pretty clear signal that traders are closing out their positions and not opening new ones. It suggests falling liquidity and a general lack of conviction.
The trading volume tells a similar story. Today’s volume is around $4.7 billion, which sounds like a lot until you realize it’s a fraction of the $14.5 billion seen last month. The activity just isn’t there.
A Bearish Pattern on the Charts
Looking at the charts, things don’t appear much brighter. On a three-day timeframe, a pattern is forming that often signals a continuation of a downtrend. It’s called a bearish pennant, and it looks like a small symmetrical triangle.
This pattern started forming after that steep drop from the November high. The price is basically coiling up, and the worry is that it could break downward. If it does, some analysts think a retest of the year’s low around $0.136 is possible. That would be another significant drop from where we are now.
What Comes Next for DOGE?
So where does that leave us? The technical setup, combined with the weak demand in derivatives, paints a cautious picture. It feels like the path of least resistance might be down for a while longer.
Of course, this is crypto, and things can change in an instant. A sudden burst of buying pressure that pushes the price above that upper triangle trendline would pretty much cancel out this bearish view. But for now, that doesn’t seem to be the prevailing sentiment. Traders seem to be watching and waiting, or maybe just looking elsewhere entirely.