XRP is trading near $1.37 at press time, down about 3% in the past day, according to CoinMarketCap. That puts the coin at a spot where traders are not fully bearish but also not ready to call a new uptrend. The next few sessions may matter more than usual.
Why $1.55 Matters
Analyst ChartNerd is watching XRP’s 20-month exponential moving average. That level sits near $1.55 and is close to the 50-week EMA. The 50-week EMA has capped price since XRP moved toward $1.70, so bulls have a clear barrier to clear.
In August, XRP touched the 20-month EMA for the first time since January 2026. The coin has struggled around this average before, often falling after failed attempts. Because of that, a clean move above it could be a sign that sellers are losing control. ChartNerd says XRP needs to break above both the 20-month EMA and the 50-week EMA, then hold them as support. Without that, another pullback is possible.
The long-term chart gives some reason for patience. XRP has moved above the 20-month EMA before major rallies in past cycles. That does not guarantee a repeat, but it shows why this area draws attention.
Early Signs of Recovery
ChartNerd also points to recent price action. XRP had been printing lower highs and lower lows, a clear downtrend. After it moved above $1.39, the structure started to improve. The coin has broken several prior highs and may now be forming higher lows. If that continues, the downtrend could be weakening. Still, one or two higher lows are not enough to confirm a trend change.
$1.48 Is the Next Test
Analyst Cryptoinsightuk is focused on $1.48. He views XRP’s trend as neutral. XRP has moved above a previous high, but it needs more upside to confirm a stronger uptrend. A break above $1.48 could open the door to $1.58. If buying continues, the next major zone is $1.70 to $1.85.
Cryptoinsightuk also mentioned comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent about possibly buying more U.S. Treasury bonds. He thinks that could help crypto broadly, though the link is not always direct.
Both analysts agree on the main point. XRP is showing early signs of recovery, but it has not proven an uptrend yet. A move above $1.48 would be constructive. Reclaiming $1.55 on the 20-month EMA and then the 50-week EMA would be a stronger signal. Until then, the market may stay choppy, and another drop cannot be ruled out. If XRP does break higher, $1.58 is the first target, followed by $1.70 to $1.85.
